CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2022-04-03T16:38:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2022-04-03T16:38ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/19654/-1
CME Note: The source of this CME is a large filament eruption best seen in the SW quadrant of the Earth-facing disk in SDO/AIA 304 and along the western limb in a few frames of STEREO A EUVI 304. The CME is first visible to the SW in STEREO A COR2 followed by SOHO LASCO C2 and C3.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2022-04-06T22:45Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 3.0
Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-04-06T12:02Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)
Prediction Method: EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)
Prediction Method Note:
************************************************************************************** % Compiled module: EAM ************************************************************************************** Most pr. speed = 702.0 km/sec The EAM version you are running is: v2 u_r = 762.470 Acceleration: -1.25830 Duration in seconds: 242679.74 Duration in days: 2.8087933 ************************************************************************************** Acceleration of the CME: -1.26 m/s^2 Velocity of the CME at 1 AU: 457.1 km/s Expected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 06/04/2022 Time: 12:02 UT **************************************************************************************Lead Time: 39.75 hour(s)
Difference: 10.72 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Evangelos Paouris (JHUAPL) on 2022-04-05T07:00Z
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